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☆ The new power figures in hedge funds do not manage money
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-05 | by ( Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . On the agenda:But first: Why Wall Street is so happy to see the job market slowing down. New data from Vanguard shows a two-tier job market: one divided between a blue-collar boom and a white-collar recession. Also read:AdvertisementiStock; Rebecca Zisser/BIThe portfolio-manager whisperersThe new power figures in hedge funds do not manage money.

Persons: —, it's, Brian Rose, It's, Christie Hemm, Jan Sramek, Goldman Sachs, Reid Hoffman, Marc Andreessen, Alyssa Powell, Stefano Spicca, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Rebecca Zisser, whisperers, Gates Organizations: Business, Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management, Big, Silicon, California, Vanguard, Microsoft, Big Tech Locations: Austrian, Solano County, Napa, Sacramento, California, Silicon Valley, New York City

☆ Here's where the jobs are for April 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The U.S. economy added 175,000 jobs overall , well below Wall Street expectations. Job growth stumbled in April, with a few previous areas of strength showing meager job additions or even losses. The slower job growth could be good news on the inflation front but will raise concerns about a broader economic slowdown. The overall picture is one of a steady labor market with disinflationary growth," Pollak continued. Job growth in transportation and warehousing also accelerated month-over-month with a gain of 21,800.

Persons: Julia Pollak, Pollak Locations: U.S

☆ Stocks' bull run will end in a bubble or recession, says Bank of America strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Stocks are in a "late secular bull market," BofA's Michael Hartnett said in a Friday research note. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe bull market that's pushed stock prices higher for the past year and a half will probably end in tears, Bank of America's Michael Hartnett warned. Equities are in a "late secular bull market" that likely "ends with [a] bubble and/or recession," the bank's chief investment strategist wrote in a Friday research note seen by Business Insider. Hartnett's bearish stance clashes with the view held by BofA's head of US equity and quantitative strategy, Savita Subramanian, who has predicted that stocks' bull market will last.

Persons: BofA's Michael Hartnett, —, of America's Michael Hartnett, Hartnett's, Hartnett, Marko Kolanovic, BofA's, Savita Subramanian, stagflation Organizations: Service, of America's, Business, JPMorgan

☆ America's big stagflation scare is over
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThe US economy looks to have steered clear of danger after the specter of stagflation spooked markets and put analysts on edge in recent weeks. Further, average hourly earnings unexpectedly declined to 0.2%. And since elevated labor costs are part of the stagflation equation, the dip in average hourly earnings also signaled a period of languid growth will be avoided. It sent alarm bells ringing around stagflation, which occurs when inflation stays high despite a cooling economy.

Persons: —, specter, Marko Kolanovic, Mohamed El, Bank of America's Michael Harnett —, Harnett Organizations: Service, Business, Bank of America, Bloomberg, Bank of America's

☆ The stock market's sell-off is over and the Fed gave 5 bullish signs to investors at its latest meeting, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The sell-off that battered stocks in April probably won't stretch into May, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. AdvertisementThe stock market's sell-off could be over, and five bullish signals the Fed gave at its latest policy meeting are setting the stage for gains in May, according to Fundstrat's head of research Tom Lee. Investors are now pricing in a 69% chance the Fed could rate rates once or twice by the end of the year, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Stock investors have already perked up on a brighter outlook for Fed rate cuts this year. Stocks reacted positively to the Wednesday Fed meeting.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, —, Powell, presser, Stocks Organizations: Service, Markets, Fed, stagflation, Investors

☆ Stock market today: Indexes edge up after Fed and as trader eye Apple earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose Thursday after the Fed meeting and as investors eyed Apple earnings. Expectations heading into Apple earnings are mixed, with analysts seeing a tough period for the iPhone maker. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks rose Thursday morning following Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting and as traders geared up for Apple earnings after the closing bell. Expectations are for the tech firm to report revenue of $90.33 billion and earnings per share $1.50.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Apple, Service, Reserve, Labor Department, Dow, Nasdaq

☆ The specter of stagflation is back in the news. BofA says investors should buy these 2 areas of the market to capitalize.
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Headlines talking about "stagflation" have rocketed to the most in two years, Bank of America said. Utilities and energy typically benefit the most in stagflationary conditions, the bank said. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementHeadline references to "stagflation" catapulted to a two-year high last week, Bank of America reported, which could start weighing on Wall Street sentiment. We think that view is misguided, as it is based on an apples-to-oranges comparison," the bank wrote last week.

Persons: —, it's, stagflationary Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Tech

☆ Watch Fed Chair Powell speak as markets rally on his comments
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Last week's GDP report that showed slowing overall growth but solid price increases raised some concern about the U.S. entering a period of "stagflation," but Fed Chair Jerome Powell downplayed that idea on Wednesday. "I don't really understand where that's coming from," Powell said. The central bank chief pointed out that, by some measures, economic growth is at 3% and inflation is below 3%. "I don't see the 'stag' or the '-flation'," Powell added. — Jesse Pound

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, — Jesse Pound

☆ A contrarian stock market indicator is on the verge of flashing a 'buy' signal, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Stocks are edging closer to a "buy" signal, according to BofA's contrarian market indicator. AdvertisementA contrarian indicator in the stock market is edging closer to a "buy" signal, according to Bank of America. The bank's Sell Side Indicator, a contrarian stock market gauge that flashes a bullish signal when investor sentiment is bearish, and vice versa, is now closer to a "buy" signal than a "sell" signal, strategists said in a note on Wednesday. The lower reading is a bullish sign for stocks, as the indicator is now just 3.3 percentage points away from flashing a "buy" reading, strategists said. Advertisement"The SSI has been a reliable contrarian indicator - in other words, it has been bullish when Wall Street was extremely bearish, and vice versa," the bank wrote.

Persons: —, Stagflation Organizations: Service, Bank of America, SSI

☆ Interest rates staying where they are is a forgone conclusion, but the Fed's decision day still matters
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, what another delay to interest rate cuts means for a market banking on them. The big storyThe waiting game continuesChip Somodevilla/Getty Images; BISpoiler alert: The Federal Reserve won't be lowering interest rates today. The official announcement won't come until this afternoon, but interest rates staying where they are is a forgone conclusion. The CME FedWatch Tool, which calculates the probability of the Fed's decision based on interest rate traders, has the odds of rates staying untouched at 97.5%.) Talk of cutting interest rates has been going on for the better part of a year.

Persons: —, it's, doesn't, We'll, Chip Somodevilla, Jerome Powell, Matt Rourke, Sarah Silbiger, Alyssa Powell, CME's, aren't, Powell, Erin Schaff, Paul Krugman, Donald Trump's, Krugman, Trump, Marko Kolanovic, Rebecca Zisser, Instagram, Changpeng Zhao, Binance, Amazon, Emma Tucker's, Steve Bannon, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Stagecoach, Trump, Tech, Investors, Bloomberg, Getty, The New York Times, Hunterbrook, JPMorgan, Adobe, Wall Street Journal, Staff, eBay, Pfizer, Google Locations: stagflation, New York, London

☆ Defense stocks will price higher on headlines and earnings growth, says Courtney Garcia
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDefense stocks will price higher on headlines and earnings growth, says Courtney GarciaCourtney Garcia, Senior Wealth Advisor at Payne Capital Management, discusses the new trading month, stagflation concerns, and the Fed.

Persons: Courtney Garcia Courtney Garcia Organizations: Defense, Payne Capital Management

☆ Federal Reserve interest rate verdict: Central bankers meet to decide on next move
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington CNN —The Federal Reserve is expected to announce Wednesday that it is keeping interest rates at a quarter-century high for the sixth-straight meeting. Other Fed officials have already introduced the possibility of a rate hike, in addition to the chance of no rate cuts this year. Williams later said that another rate hike is possible if economic data warrants it. That combination eerily resembled stagflation, which triggered a broad stocks selloff on Wall Street Thursday. The threshold for a rate hike is ‘extremely high’Another interest rate hike is back in the conversation, but at the moment, it’s still not likely the Fed will do that.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Powell, John Williams, Williams, Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, “, can’t, it’s, Goldman Sachs, Wall, ” Oren Klachkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Index, New York Fed, Bloomberg, Minneapolis, Chicago Fed, Commerce Department, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Nationwide, CNN Locations: New, Chicago, Wells Fargo

☆ Fed Chair Powell downplays 'stagflation' concerns
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell downplays 'stagflation' concernsFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell takes questions from reporters after announcing the central bank will leave interest rates unchanged.

Persons: Powell downplays, Jerome Powell

☆ Cramer says not to second-guess Fed Chief Powell after Wednesday's remarks
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer told investors to take Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell at his word when he said on Wednesday that it's unlikely there's a rate hike on the horizon, even as inflation remains stubborn. Although Powell's comments calmed many on Wall Street, Cramer said it's likely investors will become anxious again ahead of employment data set to be released Friday. Even though Powell didn't suggest there will be a rate cut in the near future, Cramer stressed that he managed to take "the dreaded rate hike scenario off the table." The Fed also decided it would slow the price of bond sales, which Cramer said is a "dovish sign." He just thinks that inflation will gradually go away on its own, making him more of a dove than a hawk," Cramer said.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, Cramer, Jay Powell — He's, Powell Organizations: Federal

☆ 'Shark Tank' star Kevin O'Leary says interest rates won't budge this year: 'I'm sorry, it's just reality'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

"Shark Tank" star Kevin O'Leary sees zero rate cuts this year, he told Fox Business. Cuts are unlikely as the Fed can't seem to reach its mandate of 2% inflation anytime soon, he said. AdvertisementInvestors need to stifle any hope for interest rate cuts this year, as the Federal Reserve will not be able to reach its inflation mandate anytime soon, Kevin O'Leary said. But there'll be no rate cuts this year," O'Leary said Tuesday. For its part, the Fed has projected three rate cuts in 2024, though officials have repeatedly asserted that this depends on future inflation and economic data.

Persons: Kevin O'Leary, —, there'll, " O'Leary, I'm, O'Leary Organizations: Fox Business, Service, Federal Reserve, Fox Business Network, Fed

☆ The market needs to price in the possibility of more rate hikes: Richard Bernstein's Contopoulos
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market needs to price in the possibility of more rate hikes: Richard Bernstein's ContopoulosMichael Contopoulos, Richard Bernstein Advisors, joins the 'Fast Money' table to talk the FOMC's rate decision today, the state of the economy, if stagflation is a problem right now, and more.

Persons: Richard Bernstein's Contopoulos Michael Contopoulos, Richard Bernstein, stagflation Organizations: Richard Bernstein Advisors

☆ Interest rates: It’s a mystery when the Fed will begin to cut them
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Washington CNN —Nowadays, it’s anyone’s guess when the Federal Reserve will begin to cut interest rates this year — if at all. Fed officials are meeting this week, starting Tuesday, to discuss rates and set policy. That guidance will be key for market observers who clearly have divergent views on interest rates. Forecasts from major Wall Street banks on the first rate cut are all over the place: JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs expect the first cut in July, while Wells Fargo is betting on September. Some Fed policymakers, meanwhile, have even floated the possibility of a rate hike, instead of a cut.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Wall, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Jerome Powell, “, ” Kathleen Grace, John Towfighi, That’s, nearshoring, Alberto Ramos, Ramos, Morgan Stanley, Read, Cindy Westman, —, Brian Fung, Jason Carroll, I’ll, ”, Westman, ’, Westman — Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Bank of America, CNN, Labor Department, Manufacturing, Commerce Department, Program, Social Locations: Washington, Wells, Mexico, —, China, United States, Eureka , Illinois

☆ The stock rally is masking stagflation risk raised by the latest GDP report, JPMorgan says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan says the recent stock rebound driven by robust earnings masks looming stagflationary risks. The soft landing narrative is challenged by the first-quarter GDP report. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe recent rally in the stock market, bolstered by a wave of upbeat earnings, is glossing over a host of risks raised by the latest economic data points, JPMorgan said this week. Jamie Dimon and other experts are sounding the alarm, saying the US might be headed for a 1970s-style scenario, complete with a stock market crash.

Persons: —, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, hasn't, Jamie Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Microsoft

☆ Stock market today: futures rise as traders await interest rate clues from the Federal Reserve
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stock futures rose on Monday as investors awaited earnings and the Fed's meeting this week. The 10-year Treasury yield and US Dollar Index dropped, but have risen considerably this year. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The US Dollar Index , which tracks the greenback's value against a basket of foreign currencies, fell by 0.3% to 105.6.

Persons: —, Stocks, Ipek Ozkardeskaya Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, Swissquote Bank, Investors, Paramount Global

☆ Here are 5 sectors of the market that are working and the stocks that stand out in each
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell met with the press after the March Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which was pretty fraught. Data centers If there is the whiff of a data center or anything in one, the stock goes higher. It's why Meta stock is a buy a tad lower as stocks tend to revisit those kinds of declines. I worry about Club stock Stanley Black & Decker for this reason, but the dividend will keep it propped up for now. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: what's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Powell isn't, Voltaire, Vertiv, Eaton, Meta, It's, jetsam, Darius Adamczyk, Vimal, Stanley Black, Decker, Azek, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Charlie Scharf, Wells Fargo, Chipotle, that's, Johnson, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Scott Mlyn Organizations: Federal, Market, Broadcom, Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, Travel American Express, Raytheon, GE Aerospace, Royal, AAR, Honeywell, Southwest Airlines, Housing, Stanley, JPMorgan, Procter, Gamble, Colgate, Merck, Bristol, Myers, PepsiCo, Energy, Coterra Energy, Diamondback, drillers, CNBC Locations: California, Royal Caribbean, Delta, Devon

☆ HSBC wealth investor is convinced four secular themes will keep the U.S. economy humming along
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A handful of drivers will keep the American economy humming along, said Jose Rasco, chief investment officer of the Americas at HSBC's wealth division. On the cyclical front, Rasco expects growth to cool as the effects of higher rates become fully felt. "Those four themes suggest to me that's how we avoid recession," said Rasco, a Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch alum. Bonus: Presidential election year While not exactly an investment trend, Rasco also noted that a big part of his short-term optimism toward U.S. stocks stems from the looming presidential election. Data shows U.S. stocks tend to outperform in presidential election years.

Persons: Jose Rasco, Rasco, Merrill Lynch, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Federal, Lehman Brothers, U.S, U.S . Research, BlackRock, HSBC Asset Management Locations: New York City, Americas, China, Mexico, U.S

☆ WEF president: 'We haven't seen this kind of debt since the Napoleonic Wars'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Matt Clinch | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Borge Brende, president of the World Economic Forum, gave a stark outlook for the global economy saying the world faces a decade of low growth if the right economic measures are not applied. "The global growth [estimate] this year is around 3.2 [%]. "Trade will change and global value chains — there will be some more near-shoring and friend-shoring — but we shouldn't lose the baby with the bathwater ... Then we have to address the global debt situation. We haven't seen this kind of debt since the Napoleonic Wars, we are getting close to 100% of the global GDP in debt," he said. He also motioned persistent inflationary pressures and that generative artificial intelligence could be an opportunity for the developing world.

Persons: Borge Brende, CNBC's Dan Murphy, shoring Organizations: Economic, Energy Locations: Saudi Arabia

☆ 2 experts outline a looming scenario where the US economy ends up caught in a dreaded period of stagflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-27 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

This would force interest rates to stay higher for longer, putting pressure on US businesses and consumers. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementA pair of economic reports has brought back a word no central banker ever wants to hear: stagflation. The difficult scenario occurs when inflation rises and growth stalls, a dangerous combination just experienced by the US economy.

Persons: stagflation, —, Thursday's, LPL, Jeffrey Roach, Mike Reynolds, Reynolds, Jamie Dimon, Roach, shouldn't Organizations: Service, Federal, yesterday's, Fed, Wall Street, Bank of America

☆ The US economy may end up caught in a dreaded period of stagflation. 2 experts outline the scenario, and how to keep your money safe
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-27 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

☆ We have more insights as to where the economy is headed — and it's not good
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we're looking at how the latest GDP data has shifted the expectations of where the economy is headed. Now, the economy will need some type of event (see: bubble popping) for rate cuts to become an option anytime soon, Miskin said. Energy price shocks could bring the world economy to a "vulnerable moment," chief economist Indermit Gill warned.

Persons: —, TikTok, they're, you'd, Jia Feng, It'll, Insider's Madison Hoff, It's, Jerome Powell, Anna Moneymaker, BI's Filip De Mott, Jamie Dimon, Matt Miskin, Miskin, Mark Zuckerberg, C, Cox, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Goldman Sachs, Guess what's, Indermit Gill, Alphabet's, Redmond, Tyler Le, Doug McMillon, execs, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Reserve, stagflation, JPMorgan, Wall Street, John Hancock Investment Management, Galatioto Sports Partners, Bank, Google, Big Tech, Microsoft, Health, Linkedin, YouTube, ExxonMobil Locations: Chevron, New York, London

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